SV Zulte Waregem vs Genk Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
SV Zulte Waregem v Genk — Team-Based Signals
SV Zulte Waregem vs Genk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
SV Zulte Waregem
BEL
1-4
HT 1-3
Genk
BEL
2-0
HT 1-0
SV Zulte Waregem
BEL
2-6
HT 0-2
Genk
BEL
3-2
HT 1-0
SV Zulte Waregem
BEL
SV Zulte Waregem 2-1 Genk — Actual Match Statistics
SV Zulte Waregem edged past Genk 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Genk at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, SV Zulte Waregem had 39% of the ball to Genk's 61%, shots finished 22-7, expected goals 2.31 to 0.45 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold SV Zulte Waregem's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genk led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for SV Zulte Waregem and 3.17 for Genk.
What was the final score of SV Zulte Waregem vs Genk?
SV Zulte Waregem 2-1 Genk in the Belgium - Pro League on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for SV Zulte Waregem vs Genk?
Before kick-off our model rated an Genk win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split SV Zulte Waregem 29%, draw 22%, Genk 49%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.