Genk 3-2 SV Zulte Waregem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 31 Aug 2025

Genk
3-2 HT 2-2
SV Zulte Waregem
📅31/08/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2025/2026

Genk vs SV Zulte Waregem Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.43
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
18%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.43
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
2.75
6+ Goals
12%
7.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.69
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
17.1
X/1
20%
3.9
X/2
5%
13.45
X/X
10%
6.96
2/1 EV+ ✗
14%
19.95
2/2
9%
10.75
2/X
7%
19.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.95 — our 14% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
66%
-5.4pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.6pp
18%
Away Win
15%
+2.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Genk v SV Zulte Waregem — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genk EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY SV Zulte Waregem EU Bookmakers 18%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +17%
2.18/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.77
+2% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +4%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 3
402 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 70%
29.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
18.3 Crosses 17.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

Genk vs SV Zulte Waregem Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genk
6W-0D-0L
AWAY SV Zulte Waregem
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.09 xG 1.02
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
411 Passes 348
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
14.01.2023 Genk Genk 1-0 HT 1-0 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem BEL
14.08.2022 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem 1-4 HT 1-3 Genk Genk BEL
06.02.2022 Genk Genk 2-0 HT 1-0 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem BEL
31.10.2021 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem 2-6 HT 0-2 Genk Genk BEL
27.01.2021 Genk Genk 3-2 HT 1-0 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem BEL
09.08.2020 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem 1-2 HT 1-0 Genk Genk BEL

Genk 3-2 SV Zulte Waregem — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Genk
3-2
AWAY SV Zulte Waregem
2.45 xG 1.32
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
313 Passes 369
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Genk vs SV Zulte Waregem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genk nicked a narrow win over SV Zulte Waregem 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Genk as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Genk had 47% of the ball to SV Zulte Waregem's 53%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 2.45 to 1.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genk had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Genk and 1.00 for SV Zulte Waregem.

What was the final score of Genk vs SV Zulte Waregem?

Genk 3-2 SV Zulte Waregem in the Belgium - Pro League on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genk vs SV Zulte Waregem?

Before kick-off our model rated a Genk win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Genk 60%, draw 22%, SV Zulte Waregem 18%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Genk), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Genk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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