Gent 1-1 Club Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.13
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
56%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.43
Over 2.5
57%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.88
2-3 Goals
38%
1.92
4-5 Goals
24%
2.64
6+ Goals
13%
6.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
7.47
1/2 EV+ ✗
12%
19.25
1/X
6%
15.45
X/1
10%
10.4
X/2
12%
4.33
X/X
9%
6.4
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
33%
1.97
2/X
5%
14.0
Value flag · 1/2 at 19.25 — our 12% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
21%
+2.9pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.2pp
57%
Away Win
57%
-0.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.5pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gent EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 62%
-22% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +6%
1.34/2.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.04/0.97
-33% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +6%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 415 · 82%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.9
20.3 Crosses 20.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gent
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Club Brugge
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.18 xG 2.94
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
321 Passes 427
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 32
14 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
01.05.2025 Club Brugge Club Brugge 4-1 HT 1-1 Gent Gent BEL
20.04.2025 Gent Gent 0-5 HT 0-3 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
01.03.2025 Gent Gent 1-1 HT 0-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
22.09.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-4 HT 0-2 Gent Gent BEL
16.01.2024 Gent Gent 0-1 HT 0-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEK
17.12.2023 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-0 HT 2-0 Gent Gent BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gent
1-1
AWAY Club Brugge
0.77 xG 1.51
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
397 Passes 419
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 42
25 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gent vs Club Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gent and Club Brugge shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Club Brugge at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Gent had 49% of the ball to Club Brugge's 51%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 0.77 to 1.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Brugge led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gent and 2.50 for Club Brugge.

What was the final score of Gent vs Club Brugge?

Gent 1-1 Club Brugge in the Belgium - Pro League on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gent vs Club Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Gent 24%, draw 20%, Club Brugge 57%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Club Brugge), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Club Brugge) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL More Belgium - Pro League
31 Aug 2025
17:00 OH Leuven vs Standard Liege Analysis →
19:30 Union Saint-Gilloise vs Anderlecht Analysis →
20:15 Genk vs SV Zulte Waregem Analysis →