Club Brugge 4-1 Gent — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 1 May 2025

📅01/05/2025 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.27
Draw
24%
5.28
Away
17%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.96
Over 2.5
58%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
6.96
2-3 Goals
37%
2.21
4-5 Goals
25%
2.42
6+ Goals
15%
4.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1.41
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
9%
22.0
X/1 EV+ ✓
31%
4.06
X/2
6%
21.75
X/X
6%
10.25
2/1
6%
19.2
2/2
6%
17.0
2/X
9%
25.5
Value flag · X/1 at 4.06 — our 31% vs market 19.5%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
74%
-14.4pp
24%
Draw
16%
+8.0pp
17%
Away Win
10%
+6.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
30%
+11.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
70%
-11.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.1pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Gent EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +14%
2.44/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/2.27
+8% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +43%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
493 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 77%
37.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
23.0 Crosses 17.4
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Brugge
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Gent
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.41 xG 1.09
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
421 Passes 328
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
20.04.2025 Gent Gent 0-5 HT 0-3 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
01.03.2025 Gent Gent 1-1 HT 0-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
22.09.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-4 HT 0-2 Gent Gent BEL
16.01.2024 Gent Gent 0-1 HT 0-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEK
17.12.2023 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-0 HT 2-0 Gent Gent BEL
03.09.2023 Gent Gent 2-1 HT 1-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Brugge
4-1
AWAY Gent
4.09 xG 1.77
66% Ball Possession 34%
31 Total Shots 8
16 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
478 Passes 213
88% Pass Accuracy 75%
52 Box Touches 8
29 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Club Brugge vs Gent
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Brugge ran out comfortable winners over Gent 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Club Brugge as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Club Brugge had 66% of the ball to Gent's 34%, shots finished 31-8, expected goals 4.09 to 1.77.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Brugge had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Club Brugge and 1.17 for Gent.

What was the final score of Club Brugge vs Gent?

Club Brugge 4-1 Gent in the Belgium - Pro League on 01/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Brugge vs Gent?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Club Brugge 60%, draw 24%, Gent 17%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Brugge), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Club Brugge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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BEL More Belgium - Pro League
1 May 2025
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