Royal Antwerp 1-3 Anderlecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 1 May 2025

📅01/05/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.09
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.07
Over 2.5
41%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.6
No
55%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.85
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
3.09
6+ Goals
9%
10.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.85 — our 33% vs market 20.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.04
1/2
9%
30.0
1/X
7%
12.65
X/1
10%
5.24
X/2
9%
6.87
X/X
18%
5.15
2/1
7%
23.75
2/2
14%
4.61
2/X
7%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
44%
-7.6pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.3pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
44%
+14.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
56%
-14.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-13.0pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Royal Antwerp EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 34%
-11% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
1.69/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.26
-16% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
382 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 80%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
19.8 Crosses 14.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Royal Antwerp
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Anderlecht
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.31 xG 1.27
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
361 Passes 387
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2025 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0-0 HT 0-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
09.02.2025 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-0 HT 0-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
06.02.2025 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 2-2 HT 1-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEK
16.01.2025 Anderlecht Anderlecht 1-0 HT 1-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEK
04.08.2024 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 1-2 HT 1-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
26.05.2024 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 3-1 HT 0-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Royal Antwerp
1-3
AWAY Anderlecht
0.70 xG 1.10
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 2
489 Passes 313
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Royal Antwerp vs Anderlecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Anderlecht saw off Royal Antwerp 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 32% / 32%) promised a tight game; Anderlecht found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Royal Antwerp had 59% of the ball to Anderlecht's 41%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 0.70 to 1.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Anderlecht led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Royal Antwerp and 1.33 for Anderlecht.

What was the final score of Royal Antwerp vs Anderlecht?

Royal Antwerp 1-3 Anderlecht in the Belgium - Pro League on 01/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Royal Antwerp vs Anderlecht?

Before kick-off our model rated a Royal Antwerp win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Royal Antwerp 36%, draw 32%, Anderlecht 32%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Royal Antwerp) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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BEL More Belgium - Pro League
1 May 2025
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