Royal Antwerp 2-2 Anderlecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Cup, 6 Feb 2025

📅06/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.97
Over 2.5
44%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.51
2-3 Goals
46%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.21
6+ Goals
9%
11.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.51 — our 25% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.17
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
5%
12.75
X/1
14%
5.21
X/2
12%
6.43
X/X
15%
4.9
2/1
7%
24.7
2/2
15%
4.36
2/X
8%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.5pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
47%
+8.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
53%
-8.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.6pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Royal Antwerp EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 34%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.62/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.60
+4% / +129% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
479 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 79%
33.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
26.0 Crosses 26.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Royal Antwerp
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Anderlecht
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.49 xG 1.13
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
402 Passes 374
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.01.2025 Anderlecht Anderlecht 1-0 HT 1-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEK
04.08.2024 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 1-2 HT 1-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
26.05.2024 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 3-1 HT 0-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
30.03.2024 Anderlecht Anderlecht 1-0 HT 0-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
17.12.2023 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 1-1 HT 0-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
06.08.2023 Anderlecht Anderlecht 1-0 HT 1-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Royal Antwerp
2-2
AWAY Anderlecht
1.48 xG 0.86
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
475 Passes 369
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
31 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Royal Antwerp vs Anderlecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Royal Antwerp and Anderlecht couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Royal Antwerp had 56% of the ball to Anderlecht's 44%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.48 to 0.86.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Anderlecht led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Royal Antwerp and 1.17 for Anderlecht.

What was the final score of Royal Antwerp vs Anderlecht?

Royal Antwerp 2-2 Anderlecht in the Belgium - Cup on 06/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Royal Antwerp vs Anderlecht?

Before kick-off our model rated a Royal Antwerp win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Royal Antwerp 39%, draw 28%, Anderlecht 33%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Royal Antwerp), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Royal Antwerp) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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