Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0 Anderlecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
20%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.47
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.2
6+ Goals
11%
11.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.12
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.95
X/1
16%
4.2
X/2
6%
9.68
X/X
11%
5.22
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
22.35
2/2
10%
7.64
2/X
6%
15.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.35 — our 11% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
56%
-0.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
20%
Away Win
20%
+0.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.6pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 23%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / +5%
1.83/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.72
-22% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
360 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 76%
29.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
18.8 Crosses 15.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Anderlecht
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.68 xG 0.85
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
268 Passes 331
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.05.2025 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0-1 HT 0-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
12.04.2025 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0 HT 1-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
23.02.2025 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0-2 HT 0-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
01.09.2024 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 0-0 HT 0-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
05.05.2024 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 0-0 HT 0-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
14.04.2024 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-1 HT 1-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise
2-0
AWAY Anderlecht
2.26 xG 0.78
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
302 Passes 299
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 29
11 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Union Saint-Gilloise vs Anderlecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Saint-Gilloise saw off Anderlecht 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Union Saint-Gilloise as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Union Saint-Gilloise had 49% of the ball to Anderlecht's 51%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 2.26 to 0.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Saint-Gilloise had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Union Saint-Gilloise and 0.33 for Anderlecht.

What was the final score of Union Saint-Gilloise vs Anderlecht?

Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0 Anderlecht in the Belgium - Pro League on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Saint-Gilloise vs Anderlecht?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Union Saint-Gilloise 56%, draw 24%, Anderlecht 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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