Saint-Etienne vs Clermont Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Saint-Etienne v Clermont — Team-Based Signals
Saint-Etienne vs Clermont Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-0
Saint-Etienne
FR1
3-2
HT 0-0
Clermont
FR1
2-3
HT 1-1
Clermont
HAZ
1-1
HT 1-0
Clermont
HAZ
Saint-Etienne 1-0 Clermont — Actual Match Statistics
Saint-Etienne squeezed past Clermont 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Saint-Etienne as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Saint-Etienne had 57% of the ball to Clermont's 43%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 2.13 to 1.20.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saint-Etienne had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Saint-Etienne and 1.50 for Clermont.
What was the final score of Saint-Etienne vs Clermont?
Saint-Etienne 1-0 Clermont in the France - Ligue 2 on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Saint-Etienne vs Clermont?
Before kick-off our model rated a Saint-Etienne win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Saint-Etienne 61%, draw 22%, Clermont 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saint-Etienne) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.