Armagh City 1-5 Warrenpoint Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 17 Jan 2026

📅17/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
7.18
Draw
16%
5.28
Away
69%
1.28
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.98
Over 2.5
63%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
5.86
2-3 Goals
40%
2.05
4-5 Goals
30%
2.48
6+ Goals
13%
5.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
2%
X/1
5%
X/2
13%
X/X
5%
2/1
3%
2/2
52%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
11%
+3.6pp
16%
Draw
16%
+0.4pp
69%
Away Win
73%
-4.0pp
37%
Under 2.5
30%
+7.0pp
63%
Over 2.5
70%
-7.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.3pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Armagh City EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Warrenpoint Town EU Bookmakers 78%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
0.48/2.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/1.00
-61% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +128% / +18%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
279 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 421 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Armagh City
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Warrenpoint Town
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
15.11.2025 Armagh City Armagh City 0-2 HT 0-2 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town KİRL1
POST-MATCH Armagh City vs Warrenpoint Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Warrenpoint Town swept aside Armagh City 5-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Warrenpoint Town as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Armagh City vs Warrenpoint Town?

Armagh City 1-5 Warrenpoint Town in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Armagh City vs Warrenpoint Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Warrenpoint Town win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Armagh City 14%, draw 16%, Warrenpoint Town 69%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Warrenpoint Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Warrenpoint Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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