Institute FC 2-1 Dundela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 17 Jan 2026

📅17/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
18%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.21
Over 2.5
46%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.28
2-3 Goals
45%
1.86
4-5 Goals
19%
2.83
6+ Goals
9%
8.07
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.28 — our 27% vs market 17.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
55%
+3.6pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.2pp
18%
Away Win
22%
-3.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.9pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Institute FC EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundela EU Bookmakers 26%
+13% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -6%
1.98/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/2.14
+2% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
413 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Institute FC
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Dundela
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
18.10.2025 Institute FC Institute FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
13.09.2025 Dundela Dundela 2-2 HT 0-1 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
22.02.2025 Dundela Dundela 1-3 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
01.02.2025 Dundela Dundela 4-3 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
17.08.2024 Institute FC Institute FC 2-2 HT 1-0 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
06.04.2024 Dundela Dundela 3-4 HT 0-1 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Institute FC vs Dundela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Institute FC nicked a narrow win over Dundela 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Institute FC as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Institute FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Institute FC and 2.17 for Dundela.

What was the final score of Institute FC vs Dundela?

Institute FC 2-1 Dundela in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Institute FC vs Dundela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Institute FC win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Institute FC 59%, draw 23%, Dundela 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Institute FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Institute FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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