Newington Youth 2-0 Ards FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 17 Jan 2026

📅17/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
17%
3.72
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.51
Over 2.5
66%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.2
2-3 Goals
38%
1.97
4-5 Goals
27%
2.58
6+ Goals
15%
6.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
-0.2pp
17%
Draw
24%
-6.1pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+6.3pp
34%
Under 2.5
36%
-2.2pp
66%
Over 2.5
64%
+2.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.0pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newington Youth EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Ards FC EU Bookmakers 34%
+16% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.51/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/1.81
+38% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
244 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newington Youth
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Ards FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.12.2025 Ards FC Ards FC 3-3 HT 0-2 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
04.10.2025 Newington Youth Newington Youth 0-3 HT 0-1 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
22.02.2025 Ards FC Ards FC 1-1 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
02.11.2024 Newington Youth Newington Youth 2-2 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
13.04.2024 Ards FC Ards FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
27.02.2024 Newington Youth Newington Youth 1-0 HT 0-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Newington Youth vs Ards FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newington Youth got the better of Ards FC 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Newington Youth as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Newington Youth and 1.67 for Ards FC.

What was the final score of Newington Youth vs Ards FC?

Newington Youth 2-0 Ards FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newington Youth vs Ards FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newington Youth win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Newington Youth 46%, draw 17%, Ards FC 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newington Youth) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Newington Youth) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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