Institute FC 1-1 Dundela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.64
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.05
6+ Goals
9%
10.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.64 — our 32% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
12%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
51%
-2.5pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.2pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.8pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Institute FC EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundela EU Bookmakers 28%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -3%
1.76/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/2.24
-11% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
390 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Institute FC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Dundela
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
13.09.2025 Dundela Dundela 2-2 HT 0-1 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
22.02.2025 Dundela Dundela 1-3 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
01.02.2025 Dundela Dundela 4-3 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
17.08.2024 Institute FC Institute FC 2-2 HT 1-0 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
06.04.2024 Dundela Dundela 3-4 HT 0-1 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
17.02.2024 Institute FC Institute FC 2-4 HT 2-1 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
POST-MATCH Institute FC vs Dundela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Institute FC and Dundela shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Institute FC at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Institute FC and 2.67 for Dundela.

What was the final score of Institute FC vs Dundela?

Institute FC 1-1 Dundela in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Institute FC vs Dundela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Institute FC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Institute FC 49%, draw 28%, Dundela 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Institute FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Institute FC) ✓ Under 2.5
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