Newington Youth 5-1 Armagh City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.82
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
21%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.21
Over 2.5
65%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.56
No
40%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.18
2-3 Goals
35%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
2.81
6+ Goals
18%
8.12
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
51%
+8.3pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.6pp
20%
Away Win
25%
-4.7pp
35%
Under 2.5
41%
-6.3pp
65%
Over 2.5
59%
+6.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.5pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newington Youth EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Armagh City EU Bookmakers 29%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
2.31/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/2.58
+20% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -29%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
351 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newington Youth
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Armagh City
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
16.09.2025 Armagh City Armagh City 2-4 HT 2-2 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
05.04.2025 Armagh City Armagh City 3-3 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
15.02.2025 Newington Youth Newington Youth 2-3 Armagh City Armagh City KİRL1
05.10.2024 Armagh City Armagh City 0-1 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
POST-MATCH Newington Youth vs Armagh City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newington Youth swept aside Armagh City 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Newington Youth as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Newington Youth had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Newington Youth and 2.00 for Armagh City.

What was the final score of Newington Youth vs Armagh City?

Newington Youth 5-1 Armagh City in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newington Youth vs Armagh City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newington Youth win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Newington Youth 59%, draw 20%, Armagh City 20%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newington Youth), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Newington Youth) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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