Queens University 1-0 Ards FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
49%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.61
No
41%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.6
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
26%
3.07
6+ Goals
10%
10.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
5%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
34%
-11.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
49%
Away Win
41%
+8.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.9pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queens University EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Ards FC EU Bookmakers 45%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -22%
1.57/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.88
-2% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -24%
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
257 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queens University
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Ards FC
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2025 Ards FC Ards FC 2-3 HT 1-1 Queens University Queens University KİRL1
29.01.2022 Queens University Queens University 2-1 HT 1-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
20.08.2021 Ards FC Ards FC 3-0 HT 1-0 Queens University Queens University KİRL1
05.10.2019 Ards FC Ards FC 3-2 HT 1-1 Queens University Queens University KİRL1
POST-MATCH Queens University vs Ards FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queens University squeezed past Ards FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ards FC at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Queens University and 2.25 for Ards FC.

What was the final score of Queens University vs Ards FC?

Queens University 1-0 Ards FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queens University vs Ards FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ards FC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Queens University 23%, draw 28%, Ards FC 49%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ards FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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