Bracknell Town 1-3 Dorchester Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
26%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
63%
-8.1pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.3pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+11.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-11.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.2pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bracknell Town EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorchester Town EU Bookmakers 21%
+5% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -2%
2.82/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/2.37
+38% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
494 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bracknell Town
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Dorchester Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
14.11.2023 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town 1-2 HT 1-0 Bracknell Town Bracknell Town İNGNLP
11.03.2023 Bracknell Town Bracknell Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town İNGNLP
18.02.2023 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town 1-2 HT 1-2 Bracknell Town Bracknell Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Bracknell Town vs Dorchester Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dorchester Town saw off Bracknell Town 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Bracknell Town at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bracknell Town had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bracknell Town and 0.67 for Dorchester Town.

What was the final score of Bracknell Town vs Dorchester Town?

Bracknell Town 1-3 Dorchester Town in the England - Non League Premier on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bracknell Town vs Dorchester Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bracknell Town win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Bracknell Town 55%, draw 25%, Dorchester Town 20%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Bracknell Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bracknell Town) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNGNLP More England - Non League Premier
17 Feb 2024
18:00 Whitehawk vs Folkestone Invicta Analysis →
18:00 Hayes & Yeading vs AFC Totton Analysis →
18:00 Didcot Town vs Beaconsfield SYCOB Analysis →
18:00 Hyde United vs Stafford Rangers Analysis →
18:00 Bradford Park Avenue vs Ashton United Analysis →
18:00 Gosport Borough vs Salisbury Analysis →