Needham Market 2-1 Long Eaton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 17 Feb 2024

Needham Market
2-1 HT 1-0
Long Eaton United
📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
England - Non League Premier – 2023/2024

Needham Market vs Long Eaton United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.11
Draw
16%
8.11
Away
17%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
4.0
Over 2.5
59%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
85%
-17.6pp
16%
Draw
9%
+6.9pp
17%
Away Win
6%
+10.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
22%
+19.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
78%
-19.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.8pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Needham Market v Long Eaton United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Needham Market EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Long Eaton United EU Bookmakers 9%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +15%
3.10/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/2.94
+28% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -21%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
481 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
POST-MATCH Needham Market vs Long Eaton United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Needham Market squeezed past Long Eaton United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Needham Market as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

What was the final score of Needham Market vs Long Eaton United?

Needham Market 2-1 Long Eaton United in the England - Non League Premier on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Needham Market vs Long Eaton United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Needham Market win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Needham Market 67%, draw 16%, Long Eaton United 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Needham Market), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Needham Market) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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