Stourbridge 1-3 Leiston — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.0
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.66
No
57%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
46%
+3.9pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-2.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
56%
-13.5pp
57%
BTTS No
44%
+13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stourbridge EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Leiston EU Bookmakers 32%
-10% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +18%
1.62/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.70
-3% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
404 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stourbridge
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Leiston
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.03.2023 Stourbridge Stourbridge 1-1 HT 0-1 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
22.10.2022 Leiston Leiston 1-1 HT 0-0 Stourbridge Stourbridge İNGNLP
26.02.2022 Stourbridge Stourbridge 2-0 HT 0-0 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
06.11.2021 Leiston Leiston 2-1 HT 0-0 Stourbridge Stourbridge İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Stourbridge vs Leiston
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leiston got the better of Stourbridge 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Stourbridge at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Stourbridge and 1.00 for Leiston.

What was the final score of Stourbridge vs Leiston?

Stourbridge 1-3 Leiston in the England - Non League Premier on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stourbridge vs Leiston?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stourbridge win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Stourbridge 50%, draw 23%, Leiston 27%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Stourbridge) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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