Perth Glory vs Brisbane Roar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Perth Glory v Brisbane Roar — Team-Based Signals
Perth Glory vs Brisbane Roar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-0
Perth Glory
AVUS
2-1
HT 2-1
Perth Glory
AVUS
2-1
HT 1-0
Brisbane Roar
AVUS
1-4
HT 0-1
Brisbane Roar
AVUS
2-0
HT 1-0
Brisbane Roar
AVUS
1-0
HT 0-0
Perth Glory
AVUS
Perth Glory 3-2 Brisbane Roar — Actual Match Statistics
Perth Glory nicked a narrow win over Brisbane Roar 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Perth Glory as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (65%) came in.
On the day, Perth Glory had 40% of the ball to Brisbane Roar's 60%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 1.27 to 1.35.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brisbane Roar led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Perth Glory and 1.67 for Brisbane Roar.
What was the final score of Perth Glory vs Brisbane Roar?
Perth Glory 3-2 Brisbane Roar in the Australia - A-League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Perth Glory vs Brisbane Roar?
Before kick-off our model rated a Perth Glory win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Perth Glory 48%, draw 23%, Brisbane Roar 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Perth Glory), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.