Sydney vs Adelaide United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sydney v Adelaide United — Team-Based Signals
Sydney vs Adelaide United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-5
HT 0-4
Sydney
AVUS
1-1
HT 0-0
Sydney
AVUS
2-2
HT 0-1
Adelaide United
AVUS
2-3
HT 1-1
Adelaide United
AVUS
1-2
HT 1-1
Sydney
AVUS
Sydney 2-1 Adelaide United — Actual Match Statistics
Sydney squeezed past Adelaide United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sydney as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (61%) came in.
On the day, Sydney had 46% of the ball to Adelaide United's 54%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 2.02 to 1.16.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Sydney and 2.00 for Adelaide United.
What was the final score of Sydney vs Adelaide United?
Sydney 2-1 Adelaide United in the Australia - A-League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sydney vs Adelaide United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sydney win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sydney 50%, draw 26%, Adelaide United 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sydney), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.