17/02/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-1
Besançon FC vs Dijon II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
Over
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
No
43%
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
44%
4-5
26%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 57% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
35%
Home Win
46%
23%
Draw
25%
42%
Away Win
30%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Besançon FC v Dijon II — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Besançon FC
The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY
Dijon II
The Market 33%
+36% /
+36%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-42% /
-42%
2.99/0.50
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.00/2.00
+117%
/
+150%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
-37%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
13
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
5
299 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
290 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Besançon FC vs Dijon II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Dijon II saw off Besançon FC 2-0 away from home.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dijon II as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Besançon FC vs Dijon II?
Besançon FC 0-2 Dijon II in the France - National League 3 on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Besançon FC vs Dijon II?
Before kick-off our model rated an Dijon II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Besançon FC 35%, draw 23%, Dijon II 42%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dijon II) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Dijon II)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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FRUL3
More France - National League 3
17 Feb 2024