17/02/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
1-1
Limonest vs Saint-Etienne II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
Over
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
45%
4-5
18%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
6%
2/X
11%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
39%
Home Win
42%
30%
Draw
30%
30%
Away Win
28%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Limonest v Saint-Etienne II — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Limonest
The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY
Saint-Etienne II
The Market 32%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
53%
Ball Possession
47%
11
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
3
303 · 73%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
273 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Limonest vs Saint-Etienne II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Limonest squeezed past Saint-Etienne II 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Limonest made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
What was the final score of Limonest vs Saint-Etienne II?
Limonest 1-0 Saint-Etienne II in the France - National League 3 on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Limonest vs Saint-Etienne II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Limonest win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Limonest 39%, draw 30%, Saint-Etienne II 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Limonest), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Limonest)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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FRUL3
More France - National League 3
17 Feb 2024