17/02/2024
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
2-2
Union Cosnoise vs Jura Dolois Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
Over Pick
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
43%
4-5
23%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 54% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
49%
Home Win
48%
27%
Draw
26%
25%
Away Win
26%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Union Cosnoise v Jura Dolois — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Union Cosnoise
The Market 52%
Head to Head
AWAY
Jura Dolois
The Market 30%
+40% /
+40%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+87%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
50%
Ball Possession
50%
12
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
6
6
Corners
4
298 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
323 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Union Cosnoise vs Jura Dolois
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Union Cosnoise squeezed past Jura Dolois 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Union Cosnoise as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
What was the final score of Union Cosnoise vs Jura Dolois?
Union Cosnoise 1-0 Jura Dolois in the France - National League 3 on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Union Cosnoise vs Jura Dolois?
Before kick-off our model rated a Union Cosnoise win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Union Cosnoise 49%, draw 27%, Jura Dolois 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Cosnoise) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Union Cosnoise)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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FRUL3
More France - National League 3
17 Feb 2024