Chaves 2-1 Boavista — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 17 Feb 2024

Chaves
2-1 HT 1-1
Boavista
📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2023/2024

Chaves vs Boavista Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
39%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.6
Over 2.5
50%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.5
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
4.62
6+ Goals
9%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.92
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.2
X/1
14%
5.34
X/2
13%
5.38
X/X
10%
3.75
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
18%
3.96
2/X
10%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
-0.2pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.7pp
39%
Away Win
35%
+4.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
59%
-8.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
41%
+8.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.8pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chaves v Boavista — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chaves EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Boavista EU Bookmakers 38%
+6% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.46/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.38
+12% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
21.8 Crosses 16.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6

Chaves vs Boavista Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chaves
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Boavista
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.37 xG 1.88
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
257 Passes 331
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.09.2023 Boavista Boavista 4-1 HT 4-0 Chaves Chaves POR
27.05.2023 Chaves Chaves 1-4 HT 0-2 Boavista Boavista POR
23.01.2023 Boavista Boavista 1-1 HT 1-0 Chaves Chaves POR
10.07.2019 Chaves Chaves 0-2 HT 0-0 Boavista Boavista HAZ
17.02.2019 Chaves Chaves 1-1 HT 1-0 Boavista Boavista POR
21.09.2018 Boavista Boavista 1-2 HT 0-1 Chaves Chaves POR

Chaves 2-1 Boavista — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chaves
2-1
AWAY Boavista
0.90 xG 2.19
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
192 Passes 324
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 22
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chaves vs Boavista
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chaves nicked a narrow win over Boavista 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 39%) promised a tight game; Chaves found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Chaves had 40% of the ball to Boavista's 60%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.90 to 2.19 — on chances, Boavista could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boavista led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chaves and 2.17 for Boavista.

What was the final score of Chaves vs Boavista?

Chaves 2-1 Boavista in the Portugal - Premier League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chaves vs Boavista?

Before kick-off our model rated an Boavista win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Chaves 36%, draw 25%, Boavista 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Boavista) ✗ BTTS No
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