Giresunspor 0-1 Keçiörengücü — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 17 Feb 2024

Giresunspor
0-1 HT 0-1
Keçiörengücü
📅17/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Turkey - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Giresunspor vs Keçiörengücü Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.91
Draw
31%
4.08
Away
47%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.86
Over
42%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
38%
4-5
18%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
14%
+7.8pp
31%
Draw
22%
+9.4pp
47%
Away Win
64%
-17.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.4pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Giresunspor v Keçiörengücü — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Giresunspor EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Keçiörengücü EU Bookmakers 69%
-9% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.46/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.53/1.16
-61% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +94% / +69%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
254 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 82%
15.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.5
11.0 Crosses 17.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.3

Giresunspor vs Keçiörengücü Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Giresunspor
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Keçiörengücü
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
1.42 xG 0.86
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
258 Passes 377
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
10 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.09.2023 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 3-1 HT 2-1 Giresunspor Giresunspor T1L
13.04.2021 Giresunspor Giresunspor 2-1 HT 1-1 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
09.12.2020 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 0-1 HT 0-0 Giresunspor Giresunspor T1L
11.03.2020 Giresunspor Giresunspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
03.11.2019 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 0-0 HT 0-0 Giresunspor Giresunspor T1L

Giresunspor 0-1 Keçiörengücü — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Giresunspor
0-1
AWAY Keçiörengücü
0.13 xG 2.93
38% Ball Possession 62%
2 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
197 Passes 395
66% Pass Accuracy 81%
4 Box Touches 27
9 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Giresunspor vs Keçiörengücü
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Keçiörengücü nicked a narrow win over Giresunspor 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Keçiörengücü as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Giresunspor had 38% of the ball to Keçiörengücü's 62%, shots finished 2-12, expected goals 0.13 to 2.93 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Keçiörengücü's control.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Giresunspor had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Giresunspor and 0.80 for Keçiörengücü.

What was the final score of Giresunspor vs Keçiörengücü?

Giresunspor 0-1 Keçiörengücü in the Turkey - 1st Division on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Giresunspor vs Keçiörengücü?

Before kick-off our model rated an Keçiörengücü win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Giresunspor 22%, draw 31%, Keçiörengücü 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Keçiörengücü), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Keçiörengücü) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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