Tuzlaspor 1-2 Boluspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.56
Over
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.4
2-3
44%
1.75
4-5
20%
4.86
6+
7%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.97
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
9%
13.1
X/1
8%
5.37
X/2
14%
5.44
X/X
14%
3.59
2/1
4%
34.0
2/2
14%
4.04
2/X
7%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.5pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.9pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.7pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tuzlaspor EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Boluspor EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.38/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.26
+4% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
280 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
15.7 Crosses 15.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tuzlaspor
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Boluspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.34 xG 1.60
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
258 Passes 345
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.09.2023 Boluspor Boluspor 2-1 HT 1-0 Tuzlaspor T1L
11.03.2023 Tuzlaspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
02.10.2022 Boluspor Boluspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Tuzlaspor T1L
02.03.2022 Boluspor Boluspor 0-1 HT 0-0 Tuzlaspor T1L
27.08.2021 Tuzlaspor 3-1 HT 2-1 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
21.02.2021 Tuzlaspor 0-1 HT 0-0 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tuzlaspor
1-2
AWAY Boluspor
1.91 xG 0.85
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
331 Passes 407
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tuzlaspor vs Boluspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boluspor edged past Tuzlaspor 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and on the day Boluspor made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tuzlaspor had 45% of the ball to Boluspor's 55%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.91 to 0.85 — the balance of chances actually favoured Tuzlaspor.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tuzlaspor had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tuzlaspor and 0.67 for Boluspor.

What was the final score of Tuzlaspor vs Boluspor?

Tuzlaspor 1-2 Boluspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tuzlaspor vs Boluspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tuzlaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Tuzlaspor 35%, draw 30%, Boluspor 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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