Kocaelispor 0-1 Şanlıurfaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
52%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.82
Over
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.17
2-3
39%
1.76
4-5
25%
3.62
6+
10%
14.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.07
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
11%
15.8
X/1
17%
3.7
X/2
5%
10.05
X/X
11%
5.04
2/1
8%
23.75
2/2
10%
8.2
2/X
5%
16.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Kocaelispor win — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
58%
-5.4pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.8pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+1.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kocaelispor EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Şanlıurfaspor EU Bookmakers 21%
-11% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -19%
1.43/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.06
+2% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -64% / -15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 70%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
21.9 Crosses 19.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kocaelispor
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Şanlıurfaspor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.11 xG 0.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 5
358 Passes 347
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2023 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 0-2 HT 0-1 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L
16.01.2011 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 2-1 HT 0-0 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor S2-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kocaelispor
0-1
AWAY Şanlıurfaspor
1.98 xG 1.30
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
390 Passes 232
77% Pass Accuracy 68%
20 Box Touches 14
28 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kocaelispor vs Şanlıurfaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Şanlıurfaspor squeezed past Kocaelispor 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Kocaelispor at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Kocaelispor had 60% of the ball to Şanlıurfaspor's 40%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.98 to 1.30 — on chances, Kocaelispor could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kocaelispor had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Kocaelispor and 0.50 for Şanlıurfaspor.

What was the final score of Kocaelispor vs Şanlıurfaspor?

Kocaelispor 0-1 Şanlıurfaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kocaelispor vs Şanlıurfaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kocaelispor win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Kocaelispor 52%, draw 28%, Şanlıurfaspor 20%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kocaelispor) ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
T1L More Turkey - 1st Division
17 Feb 2024
13:30 Tuzlaspor vs Boluspor Analysis →
16:00 Giresunspor vs Keçiörengücü Analysis →