Çaykur Rizespor 1-3 Fenerbahçe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.34
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
48%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.38
Over 2.5
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.02
2-3 Goals
43%
1.93
4-5 Goals
21%
2.71
6+ Goals
14%
7.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
13%
9.32
1/2
7%
20.05
1/X
7%
17.1
X/1
7%
13.0
X/2
10%
3.77
X/X
12%
6.81
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
31%
1.74
2/X
7%
16.65
Value flag · 1/1 at 9.32 — our 13% vs market 7.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
16%
+10.9pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.9pp
48%
Away Win
64%
-15.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.0pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çaykur Rizespor EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Fenerbahçe EU Bookmakers 69%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +19%
1.68/2.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.32/0.99
+49% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +23%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
300 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 466 · 87%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.8
20.8 Crosses 21.8
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çaykur Rizespor
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Fenerbahçe
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
0.85 xG 3.12
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 10
267 Passes 449
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 39
12 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.10.2023 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 5-0 HT 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
19.01.2023 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 2-1 HT 1-1 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TÜK
22.04.2022 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 0-6 HT 0-3 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
05.12.2021 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 4-0 HT 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
30.01.2021 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 1-0 HT 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
11.09.2020 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 1-2 HT 0-0 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çaykur Rizespor
1-3
AWAY Fenerbahçe
0.81 xG 1.64
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
265 Passes 198
69% Pass Accuracy 63%
14 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Çaykur Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fenerbahçe got the better of Çaykur Rizespor 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fenerbahçe as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Çaykur Rizespor had 55% of the ball to Fenerbahçe's 45%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 0.81 to 1.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fenerbahçe led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Çaykur Rizespor and 3.33 for Fenerbahçe.

What was the final score of Çaykur Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe?

Çaykur Rizespor 1-3 Fenerbahçe in the Turkey - Super League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çaykur Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Çaykur Rizespor 26%, draw 25%, Fenerbahçe 48%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fenerbahçe), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fenerbahçe) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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