Antalyaspor 2-2 İstanbulspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.45
Draw
29%
4.19
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.9
No
45%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.83
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
26%
3.14
6+ Goals
11%
10.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.74
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X EV+ ✓
11%
18.0
X/1
8%
3.52
X/2
7%
13.5
X/X
13%
6.11
2/1
8%
22.45
2/2
10%
10.85
2/X
5%
18.8
Value flag · 1/X at 18.0 — our 11% vs market 2.8%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
65%
-15.3pp
28%
Draw
21%
+7.7pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.2pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antalyaspor EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY İstanbulspor EU Bookmakers 18%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
1.73/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.47
-48% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +8%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
423 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
22.9 Crosses 14.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Antalyaspor
4W-2D-0L
AWAY İstanbulspor
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.97 xG 1.12
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
455 Passes 251
85% Pass Accuracy 73%
30 Box Touches 15
28 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 5
30.09.2023 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 1-2 HT 1-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
19.04.2023 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 3-3 HT 2-1 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
21.10.2022 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 2-1 HT 1-1 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor TSL
11.05.2008 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
15.12.2007 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 1-2 HT 1-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor T1L
12.02.2006 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 2-1 HT 1-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Antalyaspor
2-2
AWAY İstanbulspor
1.49 xG 2.07
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
371 Passes 345
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 29
27 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Antalyaspor vs İstanbulspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antalyaspor and İstanbulspor shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Antalyaspor at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Antalyaspor had 52% of the ball to İstanbulspor's 48%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.49 to 2.07.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Antalyaspor had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Antalyaspor and 1.17 for İstanbulspor.

What was the final score of Antalyaspor vs İstanbulspor?

Antalyaspor 2-2 İstanbulspor in the Turkey - Super League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antalyaspor vs İstanbulspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Antalyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Antalyaspor 49%, draw 28%, İstanbulspor 22%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Antalyaspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Antalyaspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TSL More Turkey - Super League
17 Feb 2024
16:00 Hatayspor vs Sivasspor Analysis →
19:00 Çaykur Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe Analysis →