Hatayspor 1-1 Sivasspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 17 Feb 2024

Hatayspor
1-1 HT 0-1
Sivasspor
📅17/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2023/2024

Hatayspor vs Sivasspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.76
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
4.13
6+ Goals
10%
20.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.19
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
10%
13.1
X/1
17%
4.75
X/2
8%
6.25
X/X
12%
4.06
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
13%
4.7
2/X
10%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.0pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.8pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hatayspor v Sivasspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hatayspor EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sivasspor EU Bookmakers 33%
-2% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.09/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.53
-18% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
21.1 Crosses 17.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2

Hatayspor vs Sivasspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hatayspor
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Sivasspor
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.77 xG 1.74
49% Ball Possession 51%
5 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
304 Passes 324
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.09.2023 Sivasspor Sivasspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
02.10.2022 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-2 HT 1-2 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
16.04.2022 Hatayspor Hatayspor 1-1 HT 0-1 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
28.11.2021 Sivasspor Sivasspor 4-0 HT 2-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
03.03.2021 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
02.11.2020 Hatayspor Hatayspor 1-1 HT 1-1 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL

Hatayspor 1-1 Sivasspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hatayspor
1-1
AWAY Sivasspor
0.51 xG 0.34
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
479 Passes 281
90% Pass Accuracy 83%
27 Box Touches 8
30 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hatayspor vs Sivasspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hatayspor and Sivasspor shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hatayspor at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Hatayspor had 62% of the ball to Sivasspor's 38%, shots finished 15-4, expected goals 0.51 to 0.34.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hatayspor and 1.33 for Sivasspor.

What was the final score of Hatayspor vs Sivasspor?

Hatayspor 1-1 Sivasspor in the Turkey - Super League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hatayspor vs Sivasspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hatayspor win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hatayspor 41%, draw 31%, Sivasspor 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hatayspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hatayspor) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TSL More Turkey - Super League
17 Feb 2024
13:30 Antalyaspor vs İstanbulspor Analysis →
19:00 Çaykur Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe Analysis →