Hemel Hempstead Town 2-1 St. Albans City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 17 Feb 2025

📅17/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.85
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.66
6+ Goals
9%
15.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.1pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.8pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.1pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Albans City EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +1%
1.45/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.16
+9% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
256 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town
1W-1D-4L
AWAY St. Albans City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
26.12.2024 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-1 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
01.01.2024 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 2-3 HT 2-1 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
26.12.2023 St. Albans City St. Albans City 1-2 HT 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
01.01.2023 St. Albans City St. Albans City 2-1 HT 0-1 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
26.12.2022 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-3 HT 0-1 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
22.02.2022 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 0-2 HT 0-0 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town
2-1
AWAY St. Albans City
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hemel Hempstead Town vs St. Albans City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hemel Hempstead Town squeezed past St. Albans City 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Hemel Hempstead Town made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hemel Hempstead Town had 53% of the ball to St. Albans City's 47%, shots finished 9-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Albans City led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hemel Hempstead Town and 2.00 for St. Albans City.

What was the final score of Hemel Hempstead Town vs St. Albans City?

Hemel Hempstead Town 2-1 St. Albans City in the England - Conference on 17/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hemel Hempstead Town vs St. Albans City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hemel Hempstead Town win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Hemel Hempstead Town 37%, draw 29%, St. Albans City 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hemel Hempstead Town), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hemel Hempstead Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →