Hemel Hempstead Town 1-1 St. Albans City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.68
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.02
6+ Goals
11%
9.98
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.3pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Albans City EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +4%
1.46/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.24
+4% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
277 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town
2W-0D-4L
AWAY St. Albans City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.01.2024 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 2-3 HT 2-1 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
26.12.2023 St. Albans City St. Albans City 1-2 HT 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
01.01.2023 St. Albans City St. Albans City 2-1 HT 0-1 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
26.12.2022 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-3 HT 0-1 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
22.02.2022 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 0-2 HT 0-0 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
02.01.2022 St. Albans City St. Albans City 1-3 HT 1-2 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
POST-MATCH Hemel Hempstead Town vs St. Albans City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hemel Hempstead Town and St. Albans City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Albans City led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hemel Hempstead Town and 2.00 for St. Albans City.

What was the final score of Hemel Hempstead Town vs St. Albans City?

Hemel Hempstead Town 1-1 St. Albans City in the England - Conference on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hemel Hempstead Town vs St. Albans City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hemel Hempstead Town win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Hemel Hempstead Town 36%, draw 28%, St. Albans City 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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