Tonbridge Angels 1-3 Maidstone United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.75
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
51%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.09
No
61%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.26
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
14%
4.78
6+ Goals
12%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
23%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
24%
+1.5pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.7pp
51%
Away Win
49%
+2.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.8pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tonbridge Angels EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Maidstone United EU Bookmakers 53%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -6%
1.06/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/1.31
-14% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -8%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
270 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tonbridge Angels
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Maidstone United
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
01.01.2024 Maidstone United Maidstone United 2-0 HT 2-0 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
26.12.2023 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 1-1 HT 0-0 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
02.01.2022 Maidstone United Maidstone United 2-0 HT 2-0 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
26.12.2021 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 0-1 HT 0-1 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
01.01.2020 Maidstone United Maidstone United 2-2 HT 2-1 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
POST-MATCH Tonbridge Angels vs Maidstone United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidstone United beat Tonbridge Angels 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Maidstone United as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Maidstone United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Tonbridge Angels and 1.60 for Maidstone United.

What was the final score of Tonbridge Angels vs Maidstone United?

Tonbridge Angels 1-3 Maidstone United in the England - Conference on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tonbridge Angels vs Maidstone United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maidstone United win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Tonbridge Angels 25%, draw 24%, Maidstone United 51%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maidstone United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maidstone United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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