Radcliffe Borough 1-0 Chorley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.52
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.11
6+ Goals
9%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 30% vs market 21.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
31%
-1.6pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.9pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-2.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.3pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radcliffe Borough EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Chorley EU Bookmakers 48%
-47% / -47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -2%
1.48/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.22
+14% / -65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
344 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radcliffe Borough
1-0
AWAY Chorley
56% Ball Possession 44%
5 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Radcliffe Borough vs Chorley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radcliffe Borough squeezed past Chorley 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Chorley at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Radcliffe Borough had 56% of the ball to Chorley's 44%, shots finished 5-4.

What was the final score of Radcliffe Borough vs Chorley?

Radcliffe Borough 1-0 Chorley in the England - Conference on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radcliffe Borough vs Chorley?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chorley win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Radcliffe Borough 30%, draw 29%, Chorley 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Chorley) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chorley) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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