South Melbourne vs Melbourne Knights Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
South Melbourne v Melbourne Knights — Team-Based Signals
South Melbourne vs Melbourne Knights Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
South Melbourne
AVNPL
2-1
HT 1-0
Melbourne Knights
AVNPL
2-1
HT 1-0
South Melbourne
AVNPL
2-0
HT 1-0
Melbourne Knights
AVNPL
South Melbourne beat Melbourne Knights 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had South Melbourne as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, South Melbourne had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for South Melbourne and 0.67 for Melbourne Knights.
What was the final score of South Melbourne vs Melbourne Knights?
South Melbourne 3-1 Melbourne Knights in the Australia - National Premier League on 17/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for South Melbourne vs Melbourne Knights?
Before kick-off our model rated a South Melbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split South Melbourne 48%, draw 26%, Melbourne Knights 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (South Melbourne), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.