Arema Malang 6-2 PSS Sleman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 17 Feb 2025

📅17/02/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.74
Over 2.5
39%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.2pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.6pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-1.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
54%
+7.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
46%
-7.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.6pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arema Malang EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY PSS Sleman EU Bookmakers 30%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.34/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.54
-6% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
299 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arema Malang
2W-1D-3L
AWAY PSS Sleman
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
239 Passes 322
2 Yellow Cards 5
20.09.2024 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman 3-1 HT 2-0 Arema Malang Arema Malang ENDL1
15.04.2024 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman 4-1 HT 2-1 Arema Malang Arema Malang ENDL1
30.09.2023 Arema Malang Arema Malang 2-1 HT 1-0 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman ENDL1
26.01.2023 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman 2-0 HT 1-0 Arema Malang Arema Malang ENDL1
05.08.2022 Arema Malang Arema Malang 0-0 HT 0-0 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman ENDL1
13.01.2022 Arema Malang Arema Malang 2-0 HT 0-0 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman ENDL1
POST-MATCH Arema Malang vs PSS Sleman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arema Malang ran out comfortable winners over PSS Sleman 6-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arema Malang as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 6-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSS Sleman led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Arema Malang and 1.67 for PSS Sleman.

What was the final score of Arema Malang vs PSS Sleman?

Arema Malang 6-2 PSS Sleman in the Indonesia League 1 on 17/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arema Malang vs PSS Sleman?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arema Malang win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Arema Malang 45%, draw 30%, PSS Sleman 25%. The final score 6-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arema Malang) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arema Malang) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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