Xinabajul 1-2 Mixco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 17 Feb 2025

📅17/02/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.9pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xinabajul EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Mixco EU Bookmakers 27%
-4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.37/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.37/0.84
-2% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -60% / +51%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xinabajul
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Mixco
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
16.09.2024 Xinabajul Xinabajul 3-3 HT 1-1 Mixco Mixco GUAT
17.03.2024 Mixco Mixco 2-0 HT 0-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
13.11.2023 Xinabajul Xinabajul 0-0 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
06.04.2023 Xinabajul Xinabajul 0-0 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
12.02.2023 Mixco Mixco 2-2 HT 1-2 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
24.10.2022 Xinabajul Xinabajul 1-1 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
POST-MATCH Xinabajul vs Mixco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mixco edged past Xinabajul 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Xinabajul at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mixco led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Xinabajul and 1.33 for Mixco.

What was the final score of Xinabajul vs Mixco?

Xinabajul 1-2 Mixco in the Guatemala - National League on 17/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xinabajul vs Mixco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xinabajul win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Xinabajul 45%, draw 26%, Mixco 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Xinabajul) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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