Nottingham Forest U21 1-0 Stoke City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 17 Feb 2025

Nottingham Forest U21
1-0 HT 1-0
Stoke City U21
📅17/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
INGPL2 – 2024/2025

Nottingham Forest U21 vs Stoke City U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.49
Draw
27%
4.34
Away
15%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
3%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
63%
-4.9pp
28%
Draw
20%
+7.7pp
15%
Away Win
18%
-2.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.8pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nottingham Forest U21 v Stoke City U21 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nottingham Forest U21 EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Stoke City U21 EU Bookmakers 21%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
0.74/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/4.25
-68% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -66% / -52%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
374 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
15.3 Crosses 12.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 4.7

Nottingham Forest U21 1-0 Stoke City U21 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nottingham Forest U21
1-0
AWAY Stoke City U21
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
283 Passes 417
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
9 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nottingham Forest U21 vs Stoke City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nottingham Forest U21 nicked a narrow win over Stoke City U21 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nottingham Forest U21 as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nottingham Forest U21 had 43% of the ball to Stoke City U21's 57%, shots finished 9-16.

What was the final score of Nottingham Forest U21 vs Stoke City U21?

Nottingham Forest U21 1-0 Stoke City U21 in the INGPL2 on 17/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nottingham Forest U21 vs Stoke City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nottingham Forest U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Nottingham Forest U21 58%, draw 28%, Stoke City U21 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nottingham Forest U21) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nottingham Forest U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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