Sunderland U21 1-2 Reading U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 17 Feb 2025

📅17/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.33
No
40%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
56%
-9.3pp
26%
Draw
20%
+5.5pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
71%
-10.9pp
40%
BTTS No
29%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sunderland U21 EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Reading U21 EU Bookmakers 28%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
3.64/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.29/2.37
+56% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
375 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.7 Crosses 25.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sunderland U21
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Reading U21
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
2.21 xG 2.04
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
456 Passes 252
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.05.2024 Reading U21 Reading U21 3-4 HT 1-2 Sunderland U21 Sunderland U21 INGPL2-1
17.02.2024 Reading U21 Reading U21 2-1 HT 1-1 Sunderland U21 Sunderland U21 INGPL2-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sunderland U21
1-2
AWAY Reading U21
61% Ball Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
355 Passes 207
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
14 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sunderland U21 vs Reading U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Reading U21 edged past Sunderland U21 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sunderland U21 at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sunderland U21 had 61% of the ball to Reading U21's 39%, shots finished 9-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Sunderland U21 and 2.50 for Reading U21.

What was the final score of Sunderland U21 vs Reading U21?

Sunderland U21 1-2 Reading U21 in the INGPL2 on 17/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sunderland U21 vs Reading U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sunderland U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sunderland U21 47%, draw 26%, Reading U21 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sunderland U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sunderland U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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