Atletico San Luis 1-2 Leon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 17 Feb 2025

📅17/02/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
41%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.97
Over 2.5
55%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.45
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.14
6+ Goals
13%
10.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.9pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.3pp
41%
Away Win
36%
+5.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
47%
-1.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
53%
+1.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.2pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico San Luis EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Leon EU Bookmakers 39%
-7% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +18%
1.25/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.26
-10% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
315 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 79%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
18.1 Crosses 15.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico San Luis
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Leon
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.98 xG 1.43
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
327 Passes 363
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 31
15 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2024 Leon Leon 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
25.02.2024 Leon Leon 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
24.11.2023 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 3-2 HT 2-1 Leon Leon MEK
24.08.2023 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 3-0 HT 1-0 Leon Leon MEK
08.05.2023 Leon Leon 1-3 HT 1-3 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
05.03.2023 Leon Leon 2-0 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico San Luis
1-2
AWAY Leon
2.01 xG 1.41
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
503 Passes 336
89% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico San Luis vs Leon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leon edged past Atletico San Luis 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 23% / 41%) promised a tight game; Leon found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Atletico San Luis had 58% of the ball to Leon's 42%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 2.01 to 1.41 — on chances, Atletico San Luis could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Atletico San Luis and 1.17 for Leon.

What was the final score of Atletico San Luis vs Leon?

Atletico San Luis 1-2 Leon in the Mexico - Primera on 17/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico San Luis vs Leon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leon win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Atletico San Luis 36%, draw 23%, Leon 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leon), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Leon) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK More Mexico - Primera
17 Feb 2025
02:00 Queretaro vs Monterrey Analysis →
04:05 Pachuca vs Pumas UNAM Analysis →