Leon vs Atletico San Luis Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Leon v Atletico San Luis — Team-Based Signals
Leon vs Atletico San Luis Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 2-1
Leon
MEK
3-0
HT 1-0
Leon
MEK
1-3
HT 1-3
Atletico San Luis
MEK
2-0
HT 0-0
Atletico San Luis
MEK
1-2
HT 0-1
Leon
MEK
Leon 1-0 Atletico San Luis — Actual Match Statistics
Leon nicked a narrow win over Atletico San Luis 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 30%) promised a tight game; Leon found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Leon had 49% of the ball to Atletico San Luis's 51%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.18 to 1.33.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Leon and 1.67 for Atletico San Luis.
What was the final score of Leon vs Atletico San Luis?
Leon 1-0 Atletico San Luis in the Mexico - Primera on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Leon vs Atletico San Luis?
Before kick-off our model rated a Leon win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Leon 39%, draw 31%, Atletico San Luis 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leon), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.