Necaxa 1-1 Club America — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
39%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.44
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.46
6+ Goals
10%
13.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
27%
+11.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
39%
Away Win
47%
-8.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.3pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Necaxa EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Club America EU Bookmakers 51%
+1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.12/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.00
+7% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -14%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
235 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 80%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
17.6 Crosses 19.2
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Necaxa
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Club America
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.88 xG 1.73
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
238 Passes 424
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
11 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.01.2024 Necaxa Necaxa 0-0 HT 0-0 Club America Club America MEK
24.08.2023 Club America Club America 3-2 HT 2-1 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
12.02.2023 Club America Club America 2-1 HT 1-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
11.09.2022 Necaxa Necaxa 1-2 HT 1-0 Club America Club America MEK
03.04.2022 Necaxa Necaxa 0-1 HT 0-0 Club America Club America MEK
01.08.2021 Club America Club America 2-1 HT 1-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Necaxa
1-1
AWAY Club America
1.09 xG 1.53
26% Ball Possession 74%
11 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
120 Passes 513
59% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 33
12 Crosses 24
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Necaxa vs Club America
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Necaxa and Club America couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Necaxa had 26% of the ball to Club America's 74%, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 1.09 to 1.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Necaxa and 1.67 for Club America.

What was the final score of Necaxa vs Club America?

Necaxa 1-1 Club America in the Mexico - Primera on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Necaxa vs Club America?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Necaxa 38%, draw 24%, Club America 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Club America), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Club America) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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