Monterrey 0-0 Mazatlan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.58
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.35
6+ Goals
10%
12.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-8.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monterrey EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Mazatlan EU Bookmakers 21%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -3%
1.86/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.58
-2% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
360 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
20.3 Crosses 14.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monterrey
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Mazatlan
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.06 xG 0.97
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
377 Passes 335
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.03.2024 Monterrey Monterrey 2-1 HT 2-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
07.01.2024 Mazatlan Mazatlan 1-2 Monterrey Monterrey HAZ
15.07.2023 Mazatlan Mazatlan 0-3 HT 0-0 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
22.04.2023 Mazatlan Mazatlan 0-2 HT 0-1 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
04.09.2022 Monterrey Monterrey 0-0 HT 0-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
12.03.2022 Monterrey Monterrey 2-1 HT 2-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monterrey
0-0
AWAY Mazatlan
0.17 xG 2.09
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 11
317 Passes 419
81% Pass Accuracy 88%
0 Box Touches 29
11 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Monterrey vs Mazatlan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monterrey and Mazatlan played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Monterrey at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Monterrey had 44% of the ball to Mazatlan's 56%, shots finished 5-16, expected goals 0.17 to 2.09.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterrey had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Monterrey and 0.50 for Mazatlan.

What was the final score of Monterrey vs Mazatlan?

Monterrey 0-0 Mazatlan in the Mexico - Primera on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monterrey vs Mazatlan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Monterrey 48%, draw 24%, Mazatlan 27%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Monterrey) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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