Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Cruz Azul v Guadalajara — Team-Based Signals
Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Cruz Azul 1-0 Guadalajara — Actual Match Statistics
Cruz Azul edged past Guadalajara 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Cruz Azul as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 50% and both teams to score at 53%.
The match data tells the story: Cruz Azul had 58% of the ball to Guadalajara's 42%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 1.99 to 0.83.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guadalajara led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cruz Azul and 1.00 for Guadalajara.
Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Result & Final Score
Cruz Azul 1 - 0 Guadalajara in the Mexico - Primera on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Cruz Azul 54%, draw 25%, Guadalajara 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruz Azul) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.