Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cruz Azul v Guadalajara — Team-Based Signals
Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Cruz Azul
MEK
2-1
HT 0-1
Cruz Azul
MEK
2-1
HT 1-0
Guadalajara
MEK
0-1
HT 0-0
Guadalajara
MEK
1-1
HT 0-1
Cruz Azul
MEK
Cruz Azul 1-0 Guadalajara — Actual Match Statistics
Cruz Azul edged past Guadalajara 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Cruz Azul as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Cruz Azul had 58% of the ball to Guadalajara's 42%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 1.99 to 0.83.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guadalajara led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cruz Azul and 1.00 for Guadalajara.
What was the final score of Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara?
Cruz Azul 1-0 Guadalajara in the Mexico - Primera on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Cruz Azul 45%, draw 25%, Guadalajara 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruz Azul), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.