Bandırmaspor 1-0 İstanbulspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 17 Feb 2025

📅17/02/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
25%
3.56
2-3 Goals
44%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.43
6+ Goals
10%
12.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.56 — our 25% vs market 23.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.4
1/2
5%
28.5
1/X
5%
12.6
X/1
11%
5.44
X/2
12%
6.12
X/X
12%
4.75
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
16%
4.09
2/X
9%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+1.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.7pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bandırmaspor EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY İstanbulspor EU Bookmakers 37%
-8% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -18%
1.16/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.12
-15% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
22.0 Crosses 21.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bandırmaspor
1W-3D-2L
AWAY İstanbulspor
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.75 xG 1.45
50% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
334 Passes 342
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
22.09.2024 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
02.06.2022 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 1-2 HT 1-2 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
20.05.2022 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
25.12.2021 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
13.02.2021 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 2-1 HT 0-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
02.10.2020 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 2-1 HT 1-1 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bandırmaspor
1-0
AWAY İstanbulspor
1.72 xG 1.04
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
203 Passes 247
71% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bandırmaspor vs İstanbulspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bandırmaspor nicked a narrow win over İstanbulspor 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bandırmaspor as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Bandırmaspor had 45% of the ball to İstanbulspor's 55%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.72 to 1.04.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, İstanbulspor led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bandırmaspor and 0.83 for İstanbulspor.

What was the final score of Bandırmaspor vs İstanbulspor?

Bandırmaspor 1-0 İstanbulspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 17/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bandırmaspor vs İstanbulspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bandırmaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Bandırmaspor 41%, draw 26%, İstanbulspor 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bandırmaspor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bandırmaspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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