Adanaspor 1-1 Ümraniyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 17 Feb 2025

Adanaspor
1-1 HT 0-0
Ümraniyespor
📅17/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Adanaspor vs Ümraniyespor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
32%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.89
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
4.11
6+ Goals
10%
19.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.94
1/2
8%
30.0
1/X EV+ ✗
13%
13.6
X/1
15%
5.59
X/2
11%
5.45
X/X
6%
4.3
2/1
9%
31.0
2/2
14%
3.8
2/X
9%
13.5
Value flag · 1/X at 13.6 — our 13% vs market 4.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+3.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-4.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Adanaspor v Ümraniyespor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adanaspor EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ümraniyespor EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -7%
1.25/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.55
+19% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
296 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
18.3 Crosses 17.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3

Adanaspor vs Ümraniyespor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adanaspor
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Ümraniyespor
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.03 xG 1.82
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
323 Passes 334
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.09.2024 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 5-2 HT 3-1 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
17.03.2024 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 2-0 HT 0-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
29.10.2023 Adanaspor Adanaspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
17.02.2022 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 2-1 HT 2-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
19.09.2021 Adanaspor Adanaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
25.04.2021 Adanaspor Adanaspor 0-2 HT 0-1 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L

Adanaspor 1-1 Ümraniyespor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adanaspor
1-1
AWAY Ümraniyespor
1.31 xG 0.96
66% Ball Possession 34%
26 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 3
320 Passes 128
77% Pass Accuracy 58%
33 Box Touches 6
40 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Adanaspor vs Ümraniyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adanaspor and Ümraniyespor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Adanaspor had 66% of the ball to Ümraniyespor's 34%, shots finished 26-9, expected goals 1.31 to 0.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ümraniyespor led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Adanaspor and 1.83 for Ümraniyespor.

What was the final score of Adanaspor vs Ümraniyespor?

Adanaspor 1-1 Ümraniyespor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 17/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adanaspor vs Ümraniyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Adanaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Adanaspor 39%, draw 28%, Ümraniyespor 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Adanaspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Adanaspor) ✓ Under 2.5
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