Ümraniyespor 2-0 Adanaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.52
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.4
6+ Goals
12%
12.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.33
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.1
X/1
18%
4.13
X/2
8%
8.7
X/X
11%
5.03
2/1
7%
23.15
2/2
8%
6.56
2/X
9%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-2.8pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.3pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ümraniyespor EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Adanaspor EU Bookmakers 26%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -19%
1.56/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.45
-11% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.9
22.6 Crosses 12.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ümraniyespor
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Adanaspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.54 xG 0.75
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
344 Passes 325
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2023 Adanaspor Adanaspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
17.02.2022 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 2-1 HT 2-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
19.09.2021 Adanaspor Adanaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
25.04.2021 Adanaspor Adanaspor 0-2 HT 0-1 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
20.12.2020 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 1-0 HT 0-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
26.02.2020 Adanaspor Adanaspor 0-1 HT 0-1 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ümraniyespor
2-0
AWAY Adanaspor
1.06 xG 1.23
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
387 Passes 232
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
30 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ümraniyespor vs Adanaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ümraniyespor beat Adanaspor 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ümraniyespor as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Ümraniyespor had 59% of the ball to Adanaspor's 41%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 1.06 to 1.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ümraniyespor had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ümraniyespor and 0.33 for Adanaspor.

What was the final score of Ümraniyespor vs Adanaspor?

Ümraniyespor 2-0 Adanaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ümraniyespor vs Adanaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ümraniyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ümraniyespor 50%, draw 27%, Adanaspor 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ümraniyespor) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ümraniyespor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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