Bodrum FK 1-1 Boluspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.6
Over 2.5
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.48
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
4.79
6+ Goals
8%
27.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.48 — our 35% vs market 34.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.32
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
16.15
X/1
11%
3.72
X/2
8%
9.18
X/X
14%
4.19
2/1
11%
28.5
2/2
11%
8.11
2/X
7%
17.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.5pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.7pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.1pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bodrum FK EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Boluspor EU Bookmakers 23%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +3%
1.28/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.21
-12% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +34%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
311 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
17.6 Crosses 15.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bodrum FK
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Boluspor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.52 xG 0.74
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
261 Passes 299
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 10
18 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 Boluspor Boluspor 2-1 HT 0-1 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK T1L
07.04.2023 Boluspor Boluspor 1-4 HT 1-0 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK T1L
05.11.2022 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK 1-0 HT 0-0 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bodrum FK
1-1
AWAY Boluspor
1.47 xG 0.11
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 1
4 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 5
349 Passes 217
79% Pass Accuracy 68%
25 Box Touches 7
27 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bodrum FK vs Boluspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bodrum FK and Boluspor shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Bodrum FK at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Bodrum FK had 59% of the ball to Boluspor's 41%, shots finished 15-1, expected goals 1.47 to 0.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bodrum FK had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bodrum FK and 1.00 for Boluspor.

What was the final score of Bodrum FK vs Boluspor?

Bodrum FK 1-1 Boluspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bodrum FK vs Boluspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bodrum FK win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Bodrum FK 46%, draw 30%, Boluspor 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bodrum FK), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bodrum FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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