Sakaryaspor 2-0 Altay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 17 Mar 2024

Sakaryaspor
2-0 HT 1-0
Altay
📅17/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Sakaryaspor vs Altay Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.18
Draw
21%
5.71
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.51
Over 2.5
52%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
5.35
2-3 Goals
37%
1.99
4-5 Goals
27%
2.68
6+ Goals
9%
6.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.31
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
33.0
X/1
25%
3.32
X/2
7%
31.5
X/X
10%
10.1
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
3%
25.5
2/X
6%
32.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
80%
-15.5pp
21%
Draw
14%
+7.3pp
14%
Away Win
6%
+8.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
36%
+11.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
64%
-11.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.2pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sakaryaspor v Altay — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sakaryaspor EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Altay EU Bookmakers 9%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
2.07/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.45/2.06
-1% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / -3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 72%
35.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.4
24.5 Crosses 11.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4

Sakaryaspor vs Altay Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sakaryaspor
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Altay
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.58 xG 1.19
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
359 Passes 255
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
24 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
29.10.2023 Altay Altay 1-2 HT 1-0 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
03.04.2023 Altay Altay 3-1 HT 1-1 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
29.10.2022 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 1-2 HT 0-2 Altay Altay T1L
18.03.2018 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Altay Altay S2-B
29.10.2017 Altay Altay 1-0 HT 1-0 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor S2-B
26.04.2009 Altay Altay 3-2 HT 1-1 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L

Sakaryaspor 2-0 Altay — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sakaryaspor
2-0
AWAY Altay
2.29 xG 1.06
58% Ball Possession 42%
21 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
381 Passes 235
82% Pass Accuracy 69%
27 Box Touches 6
27 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sakaryaspor vs Altay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sakaryaspor saw off Altay 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sakaryaspor as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sakaryaspor had 58% of the ball to Altay's 42%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 2.29 to 1.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Altay led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sakaryaspor and 1.67 for Altay.

What was the final score of Sakaryaspor vs Altay?

Sakaryaspor 2-0 Altay in the Turkey - 1st Division on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sakaryaspor vs Altay?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sakaryaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Sakaryaspor 64%, draw 21%, Altay 14%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sakaryaspor), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sakaryaspor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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