Sakaryaspor 2-2 MKE Ankaragücü — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 17 Feb 2025

📅17/02/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
28%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.8
Over 2.5
40%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.75
No
57%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.11
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
15%
3.83
6+ Goals
11%
16.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 33% vs market 26.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.45
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
8%
13.25
X/1
9%
5.25
X/2
8%
5.98
X/X
17%
4.49
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
14%
4.22
2/X
8%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.3pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.2pp
28%
Away Win
33%
-4.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.7pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sakaryaspor EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü EU Bookmakers 37%
+17% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -19%
1.28/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.22
+15% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
316 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
18.4 Crosses 17.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sakaryaspor
2W-1D-2L
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.69 xG 2.24
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
310 Passes 306
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 30
17 Crosses 13
5 Yellow Cards 3
21.09.2024 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 2-1 HT 1-1 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
05.05.2007 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 1-0 HT 0-0 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor TSL
18.11.2006 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü TSL
02.04.2005 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 2-7 HT 1-3 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor TSL
16.10.2004 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 1-0 HT 1-0 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sakaryaspor
2-2
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü
0.54 xG 0.88
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 0
256 Passes 344
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 10
20 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Sakaryaspor vs MKE Ankaragücü
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sakaryaspor and MKE Ankaragücü couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 32% / 28% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sakaryaspor had 45% of the ball to MKE Ankaragücü's 55%, shots finished 7-4, expected goals 0.54 to 0.88.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Sakaryaspor and 1.00 for MKE Ankaragücü.

What was the final score of Sakaryaspor vs MKE Ankaragücü?

Sakaryaspor 2-2 MKE Ankaragücü in the Turkey - 1st Division on 17/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sakaryaspor vs MKE Ankaragücü?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sakaryaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sakaryaspor 40%, draw 32%, MKE Ankaragücü 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sakaryaspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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