Monagas 0-2 Portuguesa FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 17 Feb 2025

📅17/02/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.71
Over 2.5
40%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.8pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-4.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
55%
+5.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
45%
-5.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.6pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monagas EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Portuguesa FC EU Bookmakers 43%
-4% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.95/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.04
-15% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +97%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
326 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 77%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.9
20.3 Crosses 10.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monagas
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Portuguesa FC
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.34 xG 0.92
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
220 Passes 259
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 3
28.08.2024 Monagas Monagas 4-1 HT 0-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
09.03.2024 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Monagas Monagas VEN
06.08.2023 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Monagas Monagas VEN
10.04.2023 Monagas Monagas 1-2 HT 1-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
11.09.2022 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 1-2 HT 1-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
12.03.2022 Monagas Monagas 2-4 HT 2-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monagas
0-2
AWAY Portuguesa FC
0.52 xG 1.82
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
266 Passes 234
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
11 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Monagas vs Portuguesa FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portuguesa FC got the better of Monagas 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Portuguesa FC made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Monagas had 56% of the ball to Portuguesa FC's 44%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 0.52 to 1.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monagas had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Monagas and 1.67 for Portuguesa FC.

What was the final score of Monagas vs Portuguesa FC?

Monagas 0-2 Portuguesa FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 17/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monagas vs Portuguesa FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monagas win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Monagas 38%, draw 28%, Portuguesa FC 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Monagas) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Monagas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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